23 Jul, 2025

Press - Inside Ophir's stellar FY25 with Andrew Mitchell (and 5 stock he likes right now)

Press • 8 mins read

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Livewire.

With top-tier returns across two funds, Ophir’s Andrew Mitchell explains the stock stories, signals, and strategy that made FY25 a success.

Writing about fund performance – especially over a one-year period – is a nuanced task. Whilst we like to celebrate a job well done, the fact that fund performance should typically be viewed over at least a three (if not five) year period is not lost on us here at Livewire.

So, we temper our enthusiasm, disclaim accordingly, and make sure not to gild the lily. Every so often, however, a fund rises to the top of the short-term tables while also maintaining solid three- and five-year performance.

Even rarer is a manager that makes it into the top 10 across two different categories. But that’s the position Ophir Asset Management found itself in at the end of the 2025 financial year, with the best-performing Aussie equity fund in the Livewire database, the , which delivered a 39.2% return, and the second-best global equity fund, the , which delivered 41.8%. Without adding too much spice, that’s an exceptional feat.

For a deeper dive on the performance, you can check out the following wires:

To boot, the Ophir Opportunities Fund has delivered 30.78% p.a. over the past three years, and 23.21% p.a. since inception (12 years), whilst the Ophir Global Opportunities Fund delivered 24.86% p.a. over the past three years and 18.10% p.a. since inception (6 years).

Following these results, I sat down with Co-founder and Senior Portfolio Manager Andrew Mitchell to understand what drove performance over the past 12 months, how he is currently viewing the markets, and a handful of stocks he and his team like.

Art, science, and the conviction to hold

For Mitchell, the FY25 success boils down to the basics: stock picking and position sizing.

“Stocks and position sizing – we got both of those things right.”

“In Australia, there were far fewer winners last year, so it was a challenging year. But we were fortunate to do the work and have conviction on those winners,” added Mitchell.

Even in global markets, where opportunities were more abundant, the fund’s beta (or market exposure) was a modest 1.05.

“We weren’t taking much market risk. In fact, we faced about a 6% headwind from factor exposure, so we really had to get our stocks right”, noted Mitchell

When asked about the balance between science (data-driven analytics) and art (market feel) when it comes to stock picking and position sizing, Mitchell was candid.

“There’s a lot of art”, he explained. “It’s an intangible, but very valuable. But as we progress, we’re trying to make it more science: replicable, process-driven, backed by data.”

According to Mitchell, the Ophir philosophy isn’t just about decision-making at the top. “The trick for me is to train all our staff so they can make calls and refer them up in a way that Steve [Co-founder and Portfolio Manager, Steven Ng] and I understand,” Mitchell added.

Lessons, risks, and managing time

Even in a standout year, Mitchell is reflective.

“We made mistakes, and they get masked by the winners. But we could have doubled down on the extra work – talking to customers and suppliers instead of just cycling through mindless meetings with companies,” he admitted.

“We’re always refining our process. The market gets more efficient every year – if we don’t get better, we’ll be roadkill.”

Mitchell also highlighted time as a critical constraint: “There’s no point spending endless time on a company because it’s hard to understand. Sometimes it’s best to just sell early if your thesis isn’t playing out.”

This awareness extends to market conditions. Despite a volatile macro backdrop, including Trump’s Liberation Day announcement and geopolitical tensions, Mitchell sees opportunity.

“The market has climbed a wall of worry. There’s always a reason not to invest. But we didn’t throw the baby out with the bathwater. We stayed fully invested and found opportunities,” he said. Importantly, “the Fed is at 4.5% – they’ve got room to cut. So I’m optimistic for the next 12 months.”

That said, vigilance is non-negotiable. “Only the paranoid survive,” quipped Mitchell.

“We’re always hyper-aware, watching employment data, yield curves, and economic indicators. You’ve got to be prepared if something goes really wrong.”

Stock stories: conviction at work

Mitchell emphasised that the team’s winners this year weren’t just lucky picks. Rather, they were the result of deep work, giving the team the confidence to hold in the face of fear.

“You can’t buy conviction if you haven’t done the work,” said Mitchell

“All our best winners had big negative headlines at some point, but we held through because we’d done the research”.

Life360 ()

A long-time holding in the Australian portfolio, Life360 stands out as a rare platform-style, B2C business in Australia.

“They’ve got that virality. Customer acquisition costs are low. Once they really start flexing the platform – advertising, pet, aged care – it’s going to surprise everyone,” Mitchell said.

While acknowledging the stock’s rerated multiple, he remains confident in its long-term optionality and monetisation potential.

Generation Development Group ()

A less discussed but standout performer, Generation Development Group stands to benefit from its acquisitions of Evidentia and Lonsec.

“We’d done our work in the asset consulting industry. It’s a scale business, and they’ve now got a huge lead,” Mitchell said.

“That gives them leverage with the IFAs that use them. It’s got a long runway.”

Ophir also participated in a capital raise, backing the consolidation play at attractive terms.

Stride ()

The best performer in the global portfolio, Stride offers online education – initially overlooked as a COVID beneficiary.

“No one wanted to see Stride at a conference post-COVID. But we did, and the business kept growing,” Mitchell said.

“Then a short report hit on fears of funding cuts. But we’d done the work and it turned out the concerns were unfounded. The stock got smoked, then surged on results.”

Stride is now a multi-bagger and a four-year holding that has richly rewarded Ophir’s conviction.

iRhythm ()

This company offers a modern alternative to Holter monitors for heart rhythm detection.

“It’s less invasive, uses superior algorithms, and is gaining market share again,” Mitchell said.

“The exciting part is expansion into primary care, catching arrhythmias early in patients who don’t even know they have them.”

iRhythm was up ~70% in FY25 and was another counter-consensus win.

AAR Corp ()

A recent standout in Ophir’s global portfolio, AAR Corp, which provides aircraft maintenance services, has delivered a timely profit upgrade, driven by favourable industry dynamics and strong execution.

AAR is picking up market share, thanks to the combination of aging fleets, delivery delays from Boeing and Airbus, and the ability to get parts where they are needed.

With current market share in the high single digits, Mitchell believes AAR can scale to 20%, offering meaningful upside.

Looking ahead: risks and opportunities

Mitchell warned that the biggest risk in the coming year may be inflation and sticky interest rates.

“We’re all expecting rate cuts, but if inflation doesn’t fall and the 10-year heads toward 5%, that’s a problem,” he said.

“The market wants cuts, Trump wants cuts, and if they don’t come, that ‘wall of worry’ might get steeper.”

On the flipside, the biggest opportunity?

“US small caps,” he said without hesitation.

“They’re trading at their lowest valuation relative to large caps since the 2001 dotcom bubble. The Russell 2000 is still 15% off its highs while the S&P hits records. If earnings revisions pick up and breadth improves, it could be on for young and old.”

Conclusion: hard work, high conviction

Ophir’s standout performance in FY25 is no fluke. It’s the product of process, teamwork, and unshakeable conviction earned through tireless research.

“There’s a lot of strain on relationships from all the travel and work,” Mitchell admitted.

“But we love it. It’s fun. And when you get it right, it’s incredibly rewarding.”

With breadth improving, small caps rebounding, and a playbook that clearly works, Ophir may well be worth watching again in FY26.

 

To view full article: Inside Ophir’s stellar FY25 with Andrew Mitchell (and 5 stock he likes right now) – Chris Conway | Livewire

By Chris Conway

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2 May, 2025

Press - The top Australian small-cap fund, year after year

Press • 3 mins read

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Financial Standard.

The Ophir Opportunities Fund has outperformed every rival in its category, topping the Australian small-cap fund rankings across all timeframes, according to the latest Mercer investment survey.

The fund has returned 39.6% over one year besting the median fund’s 3.5% return and S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries benchmark’s -1.33%.

Over three years, it’s returned 25% per annum, well ahead of the median fund’s 4.3% return and S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries benchmark’s -0.8%.

Over five years, it’s generated a 30.8% return, outpacing the median fund’s 16% return and S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries benchmark’s 10.2% return.

Over seven years, it’s posted a 22.1% return per annum, eclipsing the median fund’s 8.6% return and S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries benchmark’s 4.5% return.

And across 10 years, it’s returned 23.5% per annum, compared with the median fund’s 9.4% return and benchmark’s 6.3% return.

Since inception in August 2012, the fund has also led the field, delivering an annualised return of 28.7%.

Ophir founder and portfolio manager Andrew Mitchell told Financial Standard that what sets the fund apart isn’t just long-term performance, but the rare ability to also outperform in the short term – something few peers manage.

Mitchell credited Ophir’s consistency to a process that repeatedly identified standout companies early and holding them with conviction.

He said over each two-to-three-year period, the portfolio has featured major winners, including Life360 and Generation Life last year, to Afterpay, a2 Milk, and Magellan in previous cycles.

“The key thing is, we’ve been able to invest in all of them, and got on to them early,” he said.

Though generating strong returns isn’t about just picking the right stocks – it’s about backing them with conviction, he said.

He said that means making them significant positions in the portfolio and staying invested even when sentiment turns. In Australia’s small-cap market, he noted, tall poppy syndrome is alive and well; when a company performs strongly, it often attracts scepticism from investors, short sellers, and those who missed out.

To hold on through that, you need to have done the work and trust your process, he said.

That said, he acknowledged the team isn’t infallible and is constantly learning, adding that it continues to evolve its process.

“We’ve got some fantastic analysts here, and I really make sure that they’re running at the right pace. They’ve got a cadence in a process – they’re looking at a company, building a model, speaking to suppliers, competitors, and customers. They write up a stock thesis, they present it to myself and [Ophir co-founder] Stephen [Ng], we discuss it, and then work out the weight. It’s just rinse and repeat, rinse and repeat – at a good cadence,” he said.

To view full article: The top Australian small-cap fund, year after year | Financial Standard

By Andrew McKean

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13 Sep, 2023

Press - Lessons from running a fund for 10 years

Press • 5 mins read

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Morningstar.

Andrew Mitchell of Ophir Asset Management on the key rules of investing, some of the fund’s winners and losers, and where he’s finding value now.

Ophir Asset Management’s Opportunities Fund recently celebrated its 10-year anniversary. It’s been a stellar performer, returning more than 21% net of fees since inception. Ophir Co-founder Andrew Mitchell tells Morningstar’s Wealth of Experience podcast that the main lesson he’s learned from running the Opportunities Fund is that markets are volatile, and they tend to reward those who stay consistent with their investing over the long term:

“… it’s really just staying the course as an investor, sticking to your process, and not getting worried out of positions that you believe in. Likewise, I guess investors listening here, not getting worried out of the market because capitalism works. It runs and it keeps winning.”

Mitchell thinks it’s important to set realistic expectations for investors. He tells prospective and current investors that the fund hasn’t gone up in a straight line, even though the long-term returns have been healthy.

Volatility is the price of admission

He recalls working at a previous fund which fell around 50% during the GFC, underperforming the market at that time. That fund bounced back in a big way, though he likes to show investors that falls like that can happen and they need to prepare for that. And if they don’t hold on during those tough times, they’ll probably miss the sharp rebound that usually happen after a large dip.

Mitchell says it’s no coincidence that when his fund performs well that the phone rings off the hook, rather than the other way around.

In the podcast, Mitchell outlines why he’s a big believer in equities as an investment class. Earlier this year, he wrote an article for the Firstlinks newsletter with the provocative title, ‘Stocks are less risky than bonds in the long term’.  In it, Mitchell suggests that on a one-year timeframe, equities are far riskier than bonds. Yet, the longer your timeframe, the less risky stocks become. He says on a 20-year timeframe, stocks are about as equally risky as bonds, and over 30 years, they’re less risky.

As for how the macroeconomic environment fits into his strategy, Mitchell says that if you’re not thinking about it, “it’s like trying to swim with an arm behind your back. You’re not going to be too successful.” He says that while the fund focuses on bottom-up investing, the macro can drive the earnings of companies. Ultimately, his goal is to work out something about a company that the market hasn’t and that can drive long-term value.

Big winners

Mitchell’s fund is most famous for investing in Afterpay just after it IPO’ed. And it held onto the position to make many multiples of its money. Mitchell emphasizes that he did a lot of work to understand the company early on. He talked with unlisted retailers who were telling him that Afterpay was driving their online sales, customers loved it, and it was changing their spending behvaviour.

He invested in the stock thinking that making 2-3x his money would be a good outcome. Never did he expect it to go up 50x. They key in his eyes was not selling out as the share price rose. Yes, his fund did cut their holding as the price spiked, yet it held on to most of its shares because it believed in its original thesis for owning the company.

As for current stocks that he thinks may become big winners, Mitchell points to a US small cap stock called TransMedics Group (NASDAQ: TMDX). This company is involved in the removal, storage and transportation of hearts, lungs and livers used for organs. Their technology enables them to keep the heart beating outside of a human body.

Mitchell says TransMedics is growing the number of organ transplants that happen in the U.S. From 2005 to 2020, the amount of heart, lung, liver transplants went from 10,000 to 15,000. In the last three years, it’s gone from 15,000 to probably 19,000 this year. In other words, the size of the market is expanding rapidly partly because the company makes doctors’ lives easier.

A loser, for now

A stock that hasn’t been working for the fund is ASX small cap, Omni Bridgeway (ASX: OBL). This company provides funding for litigation. Given unpredictable timeframes for the completion of court cases, it makes for considerable earnings volatility from year-to-year, something investors often don’t appreciate.

It’s not a large position for Mitchell, though it’s been a painful one so far.

The opportunity in small caps

Mitchell says the theme that is dominating his thinking right now is the bear market in small caps and, conversely, the opportunity that brings. He says everyone is focused on the performance of large cap technology stocks, especially the ‘magnificent seven’ (Tesla, Microsoft, Alphabet, Nvidia, Apple, Meta, and Amazon) that have driven the S&P 500 this year. Yet, small caps have been left behind:

“… the market will come back for them at some point and there will be a lot of money to be made. It’s not a matter of if, it’s just when, and we don’t know the when part. But this will be a time that we’ll all look back at and say this was a great opportunity. I’m not sure whether you could say that about the Magnificent Seven, and I’m not all over NVIDIA. It’s obviously a fantastic business, it just trades at, I think, 25 times plus forward revenue.”

You can listen to the full interview on the Wealth of Experience podcast here.

To view full article: Lessons from running a fund for 10 years

James Gruber is an assistant editor at Firstlinks and Morningstar.com.au

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